1. Learning curve on how to properly design with a new technology - still a lot of design errors (e.g. it is still not clear even today, how to handle the wear of critical components and their maintenance - no standards,..; compare with a E40 socket and fixed lamp specs for HIDs)... 2. New, so expensive technology, so more aggressive cost cutting (operating the LEDs at or close to their design limit to save the needed amount of them).
When these two combined, it becomes a deadly coctail for the lifetime.
And because the nature of the LED (a lot of internal connections prone to failure,...) the MTBF is what dictates the lifetime andnot the predictable wear. Plus on many installations the end of the designed life is here (24kHour means about 5 years). And many installations are brand new, so early failures are frequent.
I would expect the same evolution as with any new technology in the past. Only for such infant technology they are used way too widely, so the impacts of the failures are more visible.
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