The tubes clamp the voltage down to their arc voltage, but it is still in the KV+ range. When the circuit is open (broken wire, broken lamp....) the voltage becomes full OCV
Overheating ballasts will eventually short out and trip a breaker, Will something ignite by then ? Thats what i would ask. What can catch fire actually ? Wires isolation. Backboard (if its made of wood). Tar from ballasts. Dust. Flammable materials put on top of the cabinet by users.... Each of those is the question
Besides, it costs very little to connect a thermostat in the ballast bank. Apparently nobody thought much about that all those years ago
In the 60's there was a documented fire in Zim company's building, Tel Aviv, Israel. Quoting from the
Wikipedia article (with a picture inside btw)
The fire, which was one of the worst in Israel's history, spread, among all reasons, due to the plywood walls between the offices, and the electric system being illegaly installed in the wood boards of the ceiling. The reason for the fire is assumed to be a fluorescent lamp ballast
I have some more to expand about this :
Most fluorescent fixtures used at the time were open-back. I have a
fixture like that in my collection. This is how an open back fixture can start a fire if it is installed on a flammable surface (which, given the description of the wiring, can perhaps be the case)
The ballast in it is a wound coil of wire, not layered accurately inside, isolated by some sort of cardboard (probably impregnated with something). All this is located quite deep between the plates forming the core and outer metal wraparound of the ballast. It would take very little to cause a short of loop in the coil, which would probably make the ballast heat up and this loop get to the temperature at which it might ignite something. But i dont know whether its likely that the fire/smoldering would get all the way out to the open edge of the cardboard roll, where it can ignite stuff outside the ballast
For all i know those ballasts were cheap, noisy, but reliable and even did withstand quite well stuck starters. Failures with them were rare even after 50 years in use
Those fixtures did have other weak points :
The design of the starter socket is flawed. There is "nothing" (other than the springyness of the contact) that prevents the contact of the starter socket from shorting to the screw that holds the socket to the fixture (earth). Normally the distance between them is about 1mm. Which is quite little. If in some fixture this happened to be closer than in others, or if some dust or moisture is present, it can arc in this point. Due to the contact prone to arcing being the "live" side of the starter, the circumstances are excellent : The ballast limits the arc current so no breakers are tripped, and the starter provides instant restriking of the arc if it goes out on its own. As the back of the fixture is open and the spot of arcing is on the back of the starter socket, this is few mm apart from the surface to which the fixture is mounted
There are large exposed live contacts in there in general. Especially the same connection on te back of the starter socket. If there is something in the fixture which should not be there (sawdust, steel wire poking from the concrete,....) it can be the cause of arcing or electrolysis on its own
Connecting wires at the time was usually done by wire nuts. The wires of the ballast are flexible, and they dont work well with wire nuts. A loose connection could have heated and arced
Most of those fixtures were without capacitors. But if there is one, it can possibly fail violently as well
A rare and unlikely way of failure which can happen with closed back fixtures too, is if the fixture is installed on wood, unearthed (as many lighting installations at the time were), and there is earth fault in the fixture - The voltage applied to 2 points in the wood can lead to electrolysis and carbonization, though it is not likely (it does not happen not nearly as readily as with neon sign voltages)
Other thing that can be blamed is general badly done wiring, which as in the description, was all over the place....